April certainly brought a sharper edge to the economic outlook with the Middle East crisis, inflation, volatile markets and fragile consumer confidence continuing to weigh heavily on investors.
The sharp increase in petrol prices fuelled a jump in inflation for March to 4.6%, the largest jump in three years. Underlying price growth was steadier, with trimmed mean inflation holding at 3.3%, although still exceeding the Reserve Bank’s target range of 2-3%. Opinions are currently split on where interest rates are heading.
In the US, the Federal Reserve voted narrowly to keep rates on hold despite worsening economic conditions.
The ASX 200 was sliding downwards towards the end of the month with the Australian dollar also weaker but still trading near four-year highs
The latest Westpac–Melbourne Institute survey showed sentiment falling, highlighting growing pressure on household budgets from fuel and borrowing costs.
Oil prices continued their stellar climb with Brent crude now at its highest level since 2022.

Market movements and review video – May 2026
Stay up to date with what’s happened in the Australian economy and markets over the past month.
April brought a sharper edge to the economic outlook.
The Middle East crisis, inflation, volatile markets and fragile consumer confidence are continuing to weigh heavily on investors. Stocks rallied as hopes for a U.S.-Iran ceasefire grew, only to decline as the Strait of Hormuz remained largely closed. The ASX experienced a volatile month, after a strong mid-month rally became a prolonged losing streak.
Annual inflation surged to 4.6%, up from 3.7%, driven by a 32.8% monthly spike in fuel prices due to Middle East conflict. However, trimmed mean inflation, which is the RBA’s preferred measure of underlying inflation, remained steady at 3.3%.
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